Given the current state of partisan polarization, it’s unlikely Biden can get majority job approval next year even with the most fortunate set of circumstances. But the good news for him is that he probably doesn’t have to. Job-approval ratings are crucial indicators in a normal presidential reelection cycle that is basically a referendum on the incumbent’s record. Assuming Trump is the Republican nominee, 2024 will not be a normal reelection cycle for three reasons.

  • IninewCrow@lemmy.ca
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    11 months ago

    I think the most important metric for Biden and the Democrats in the upcoming us election is a blood pulse.

    • dhork@lemmy.world
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      11 months ago

      I would argue that some cognitive ability is required also, in order to perform at the debates. But Trump has already set the precedent that the front runner can ignore debates.

      So the only metrics Biden needs to meet are

      • earn more EC votes than Trump
      • Have a pulse when the EC votes are counted in Jan 2025
      • Be able to repeat what some guy in a robe tells him to repeat on Jan 20 2025

      If he does all that, but keels over on Jan 21, his second term will still be a success.