• JohnDClay@sh.itjust.works
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    1 year ago

    Russian strategy has been destruction of Ukrainian army through attrition.

    Their strategy was a lightning fast toppling of the government within a week with little to no resistance, such as they saw in Crimea.

    Russia is also facing dire manpower issues. With too much drafting from Moscow, Putin’s power is in danger. In fact, Ukraine is betting on these manpower shortages to attrit down to the point where the line becomes untenable. See here: https://youtu.be/lebWSl49R0c https://youtu.be/CqmQPev1Gvg

    Gasa is certainly an issue, but with higher artillery production, linked bills, and diverted media attention, it has upsides for Ukraine too. https://youtu.be/tg7aw3T3nzg

    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.ml
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      1 year ago

      Their strategy was a lightning fast toppling of the government within a week with little to no resistance, such as they saw in Crimea.

      Nowhere has Russia said anything of the sort, but you must know something nobody else does apparently. Russia certainly did get Ukraine to negotiate early on, but the west forced Ukraine to break off these negotiations bringing us to where we are today.

      Russia is also facing dire manpower issues.

      It’s absolutely incredible that people still believe this stuff after a year and a half of it being proven wrong. You must be one of those geniuses who thinks China’s about to collapse as well.

      Gasa is certainly an issue, but with higher artillery production, linked bills, and diverted media attention, it has upsides for Ukraine too.

      It’s incredible what people end up believing when they just guzzle propaganda on youtube.

      In any case, there’s absolutely no point arguing with you since it’s pretty clear that you live in a fantasy world. By next year even people such as yourself will have to start grappling with what’s happening in the real world though.

      • JohnDClay@sh.itjust.works
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        1 year ago

        Russia said anything of the sort

        You take their words at face value? It’s from their actions and game theory of the situation. https://youtu.be/pBwT-5z9R5A

        Did you watch the vid?

        Did you watch the vid? It’s a game theory and international relations teacher talking about their area of expertise. I’m guessing anything that disagrees with Russia though is propaganda for you.

        • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.ml
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          1 year ago

          You take their words at face value? It’s from their actions and game theory of the situation.

          They’ve stated their objectives pretty clearly. Why would I take words of some random youtube troll over the official position?

          It’s a game theory and international relations teacher talking about their area of expertise. I’m guessing anything that disagrees with Russia though is propaganda for you.

          The narrative this game theory and international relations teacher is feeding you is at odds with the reality we observe. The fact is that plenty of western experts such as Mearsheimer clearly explain what’s happening, and their claims have actually been supported by what’s observed https://mearsheimer.substack.com/p/the-darkness-ahead-where-the-ukraine

          Here’s how things are actually going with now as reported by mainstream Spanish media https://english.elpais.com/international/2023-10-29/russia-halts-ukrainian-offensive-and-goes-on-the-attack.html

          This is the real world as opposed to deranged fantasy wonderland you inhabit listening to your game theory and international relations teacher.

              • JohnDClay@sh.itjust.works
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                1 year ago

                Indeed. Whether the attack is a good thing or a bad thing depends on the casualty and material ratio vs the objectives taken. Which a game theory approach is much better for analyzing than just saying that Russia or Ukraine is gaining ground.

                • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.ml
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                  1 year ago

                  I never made the argument about gaining ground anywhere. What I said was that Russia’s strategy is to grind down Ukrainian army through attrition. The game theory approach for analyzing this needs to account for the fact that Russia has a vastly larger population and massive industrial capacity that Russia inherited from USSR that the west is admitting is not able to match right now.

                  Also, every credible source such as BBC and Mediazona show that Russian casualties peaked before Ukrainian offensive started and have been falling since. On the other hand, Ukrainian casualties have been catastrophic even by western admissions.

                  Again, there is no point continuing this since clearly we aren’t going to convince one another of anything. We will simply see who is right when the war ends.