I don’t see the issue. Climate isn’t an engine or whatever. It’s a complex system that we don’t know how it fully works. Human introduced and introduces changes in this system. We barely understand all the effects these changes have as we don’t know how it fully works.
While i agree, unfortunately these models (hopefully) drive politics.
Politicians will do the minimum they can get away with. Thats both human nature and capitalism.
If the models undershoot (climate change accelerates faster than scientists predict), the world is fucked.
If the models overshoot (panic etc, and it ends up being a nothingburger), people will stop trusting models.
If the models are spot on, action is taken, and everything is fine… Everyone doubts the models and the hype - despite the fact the threat was understood, acted on and fixed, and a catastrophy averted (think y2k)
I don’t see the issue. Climate isn’t an engine or whatever. It’s a complex system that we don’t know how it fully works. Human introduced and introduces changes in this system. We barely understand all the effects these changes have as we don’t know how it fully works.
Of course, we can only assume the consequences.
While i agree, unfortunately these models (hopefully) drive politics.
Politicians will do the minimum they can get away with. Thats both human nature and capitalism.
If the models undershoot (climate change accelerates faster than scientists predict), the world is fucked.
If the models overshoot (panic etc, and it ends up being a nothingburger), people will stop trusting models.
If the models are spot on, action is taken, and everything is fine… Everyone doubts the models and the hype - despite the fact the threat was understood, acted on and fixed, and a catastrophy averted (think y2k)
I think we are pretty fucked, tbh.
I think that human ingenuity still has a chance. We need to stop letting psychopaths lead, though.