• atzanteol@sh.itjust.works
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    2
    ·
    1 year ago

    Define “accurate”. Define “way off”. What do you think a poll tells you?

    What you’re upset about is how you’re interpreting polls - and I guarantee you you’re doing it wrong.

    90% chance is not a guarantee success. 30% chance is not a guarantee fail. They’re probabilities.

    This poll, taken alone, tells you what these people think. It’s not a prediction and by itself doesn’t really say much. Taken in aggregate with other polls you can start to form an idea. But NO POLL will ever tell you the future.